{
  "schemaVersion": 1,
  "episodeId": "locally-correct-work-can-still-drift-v0",
  "canonicalRevision": 1,
  "status": "OPEN",
  "publicationState": "ACTIVATED",
  "semanticOwner": "iris",
  "representationOwner": "mirage",
  "semanticSourceAdmissionId": "iris:v3:research-chronicle:locally-correct-work-can-still-drift-v0-v1:20260916",
  "semanticSourcePayloadHash": "3cbc26ec5fca235c83df11203afca3d972e8611364aff51e0d1e64933bba2f2d",
  "urls": {
    "human": "/development/notes/locally-correct-work-can-still-drift-v0/",
    "markdown": "/development/notes/locally-correct-work-can-still-drift-v0.md",
    "json": "/development/notes/locally-correct-work-can-still-drift-v0.json"
  },
  "title": {
    "ja": "正しい仕事を続けても、目的から逸れる",
    "en": "Locally correct work can still drift from the objective"
  },
  "objective": {
    "ja": "canonical Mailが二社でRealityまで閉じた後も、個別には妥当な仕事の列が親Objectiveからdriftしうる条件を特定し、未検証のcountermeasureを定義する。",
    "en": "Identify how a sequence of individually reasonable work can drift from the parent Objective after two canonical Mail closures, and define a countermeasure without claiming it is verified."
  },
  "prior_state": {
    "ja": "MiyazakiとCSDでcanonical Mail pathが外部Realityまで閉じ、次の三社mini-waveも決まっていた。",
    "en": "The canonical Mail path had closed into external Reality for Miyazaki and CSD, and the next three-company mini-wave was already defined."
  },
  "failure_or_pressure": {
    "ja": "個別には妥当なrepair/platform workが連続し、約2日間新しいcommercial outbound Realityが増えなかった。",
    "en": "Individually reasonable repair and platform work accumulated while no new commercial outbound Reality appeared for roughly two days."
  },
  "observations": [
    {
      "ja": "CSDの二社目Realityは2026-09-14 08:52 JSTに観測された。",
      "en": "CSD second-company Reality was observed at 08:52 JST on 2026-09-14."
    },
    {
      "ja": "その後の三社mini-waveはDenshi→Koshin→Kuwabaraの順でdurably requestedされた。",
      "en": "A subsequent three-company mini-wave was durably requested in the order Denshi → Koshin → Kuwabara."
    },
    {
      "ja": "2026-09-16 09:31 JSTのfresh Contextまで、新しいcommercial outbound_submittedは観測されなかった。",
      "en": "No new commercial outbound_submitted event was observed through the fresh Context snapshot at 09:31 JST on 2026-09-16."
    },
    {
      "ja": "CSD packet-specific replay commitからfresh mainまで27 commits進んだ。",
      "en": "Main advanced 27 commits from the CSD packet-specific replay commit to the fresh main head."
    },
    {
      "ja": "Denshiでは本物のrecipient-truth repairが一件あり、その後のmissing public identity/provenance PARKはgeneric Observation Bridgeを作るよりcurrent source inspectionとsemantic-owner clarificationで安く判別できた。",
      "en": "Denshi exposed one genuine recipient-truth repair, while a later missing-public-identity/provenance PARK could be discriminated more cheaply by current source inspection and semantic-owner clarification than by a generic Observation Bridge."
    }
  ],
  "hypotheses": [
    {
      "ja": "optional mechanismが作った内部constraintを親Objectiveのconstraintとして扱うとself-created dependency launderingが起きる。",
      "en": "Treating a blocker created by an optional mechanism as a parent-Objective constraint produces self-created dependency laundering."
    },
    {
      "ja": "単独actionが正しくても、new Realityなしの連続mutationはserial local optimalityとしてdriftしうる。",
      "en": "Even when each action is locally correct, repeated mutation without new Reality can drift through serial local optimality."
    }
  ],
  "interventions": [
    {
      "ja": "Mission Filter + Critical PathをIntent Gate v0.1として、Currentness / Ancestry / Sequence / Execution-vs-Discovery / Resumeで試す方針を設計した。",
      "en": "Designed a proposed Intent Gate v0.1 using Currentness, Ancestry, Sequence, Execution-vs-Discovery, and Resume."
    }
  ],
  "outcomes": [
    {
      "ja": "driftの原因を『悪い仕事』ではなく『個別には正しい仕事の列』として再定義した。",
      "en": "Reframed drift from choosing bad work to a sequence of individually plausible work."
    }
  ],
  "unknowns": [
    {
      "ja": "GateはまだCompany runtimeへ導入されていない。",
      "en": "The Gate is not yet deployed into the Company runtime."
    },
    {
      "ja": "fresh workでdriftを減らしつつ探索を殺さないかは未証明。",
      "en": "It remains unproven whether the Gate reduces drift without suppressing useful exploration."
    },
    {
      "ja": "Gate自身がbureaucracyになる可能性は未検証。",
      "en": "The risk that the Gate itself becomes bureaucracy is untested."
    },
    {
      "ja": "過去15 episodeのretrospective calibrationは同じhistoryからGateを作ったため独立した精度評価ではない。",
      "en": "The retrospective 15-episode calibration is not an independent accuracy estimate because the Gate was developed from the same history."
    }
  ],
  "next_verification": {
    "ja": "Mail再開後のfresh Company workでGateを使い、止めた仕事・通した仕事・誤って抑制しそうになったDiscoveryを観測する。",
    "en": "After Mail resumes, apply the Gate to fresh Company work and observe what it blocks, what it allows, and any Discovery it would wrongly suppress."
  },
  "why_it_matters": {
    "ja": "HumanとGPTの両方が局所Objectiveへdriftするため、正しい一手だけでなく一連のtrajectoryを親Intentに照らす必要がある。",
    "en": "Both Humans and GPTs can drift into local objectives, so the trajectory of correct actions must be checked against parent intent, not only each action in isolation."
  },
  "observed": [
    "Miyazaki and CSD each reached durable commercial outbound Reality through the canonical Mail path.",
    "A conservative three-company mini-wave (Denshi → Koshin → Kuwabara) was durably requested immediately after P1.",
    "No later commercial outbound_submitted event was observed through the 2026-09-16 09:31 JST Context snapshot.",
    "Main advanced 27 commits from the CSD packet-specific replay commit 892e8e3c05f8ab907b6616668718123fa6564699 to fresh main 1e2def2795250fb324f10c052fc198cc8a5494c7.",
    "The Denshi episode exposed one genuine recipient-truth repair, while a later missing-public-identity PARK could be discriminated by source inspection and semantic-owner clarification rather than a generic Observation Bridge."
  ],
  "inferred": [
    "The drift was not primarily selection of obviously bad work; it was a sequence of individually plausible repairs and platform improvements becoming progressively independent of the parent Mail Objective.",
    "Self-created dependency laundering occurs when an optional mechanism is adopted and its internal blocker is then treated as a parent-Objective critical-path constraint.",
    "Serial local optimality occurs when repeated locally correct changes continue without new external Reality or discriminating evidence.",
    "A Mission Filter plus Critical Path Gate should evaluate Currentness, Ancestry, Sequence, Execution-vs-Discovery, and Resume rather than only single-action correctness."
  ],
  "unknown": [
    "The proposed Intent Gate v0.1 is not yet deployed into the Company runtime.",
    "Whether the Gate reduces drift under fresh work without suppressing useful Product discovery remains unproven.",
    "Whether Gate overhead itself becomes bureaucracy remains unproven.",
    "The retrospective 15-episode calibration is not an independent accuracy estimate because the Gate was developed from the same history."
  ],
  "nextVerification": [
    "Resume commercial Mail. Apply the Gate to fresh Company work only after the current Mail path is moving again, and observe what it blocks, what it allows, and any useful Discovery it would incorrectly suppress."
  ],
  "causalChain": [
    {
      "step": 1,
      "state": "P1_SECOND_COMPANY_REALITY",
      "evidence": "iris:v3:research-chronicle:did-mail-capability-compound-v0-v2:20260914"
    },
    {
      "step": 2,
      "state": "NEXT_MINI_WAVE_DEFINED",
      "evidence": "nagi:v9:safe-mini-wave3-canonical-review-request:v0:20260914"
    },
    {
      "step": 3,
      "state": "LOCAL_WORK_SEQUENCE_WITHOUT_NEW_COMMERCIAL_REALITY",
      "evidence": "repo:compare:892e8e3c05f8ab907b6616668718123fa6564699..1e2def2795250fb324f10c052fc198cc8a5494c7"
    },
    {
      "step": 4,
      "state": "CHEAPER_DISCRIMINATING_OBSERVATION_FOUND",
      "evidence": "machine:v19:denshi-nagi050-semantic-clarification-request:v0:20260916"
    },
    {
      "step": 5,
      "state": "COUNTERMEASURE_PROPOSED_NOT_VERIFIED",
      "evidence": "iris:v3:research-chronicle:locally-correct-work-can-still-drift-v0-v1:20260916"
    }
  ],
  "counterEvidence": [
    "Intent Gate v0.1 is a proposed countermeasure, not an implemented or verified Company capability.",
    "The 15-episode retrospective calibration is non-independent because the Gate was developed from the same history."
  ],
  "canonicalText": "# RealPG Research Chronicle — locally-correct-work-can-still-drift-v0\n\n## Status\nOPEN / COUNTERMEASURE_PROPOSED_NOT_YET_VERIFIED\n\n## Core claim\nA sequence of individually reasonable Company actions can drift away from the parent Objective without any single action being obviously wrong.\n\n## Observed\n- Miyazaki and CSD each reached durable commercial outbound Reality through the canonical Mail path.\n- CSD second-company Reality was observed at 08:52 JST on 2026-09-14.\n- A conservative three-company mini-wave (Denshi → Koshin → Kuwabara) was durably requested immediately after P1.\n- No later commercial outbound_submitted event was observed through the 2026-09-16 09:31 JST Context snapshot.\n- Main advanced 27 commits from the CSD packet-specific replay commit `892e8e3...` to `1e2def27...`.\n- Several intervening changes were individually justified repairs or platform improvements.\n- Denshi later exposed one genuine recipient-truth repair: Nagi revision text could contain editor residue.\n- A later Denshi PARK on missing public identity/provenance could be discriminated more cheaply by current source inspection and semantic-owner clarification than by a new generic Observation Bridge.\n\n## Inferred failure modes\n1. **Self-created dependency laundering**: an optional mechanism is adopted; its internal blocker is then treated as a parent-Objective critical-path constraint.\n2. **Serial local optimality**: repeated locally correct changes under the same parent/owner/acceptance continue without new external Reality or discriminating evidence.\n\n## Proposed countermeasure\nIntent Gate v0.1, not yet deployed:\n- Currentness\n- Ancestry\n- Sequence\n- Execution vs Discovery\n- Resume\n\nExecution success is evaluated by Reality closure. Discovery success is evaluated by bounded reduction of a material UNKNOWN. Human curiosity itself is outside the Gate.\n\n## Calibration\nA retrospective, non-blind 15-episode calibration found two false-negative classes in a single-action Gate: self-created dependency laundering and serial local optimality. This is not an accuracy estimate.\n\n## Unknowns\n- Whether the Gate reduces drift under fresh work.\n- Whether it suppresses useful Product discovery or serendipitous Learning.\n- Whether Gate overhead becomes bureaucracy.\n- Whether Sequence signals can stay heuristic rather than hard thresholds.\n\n## Next verification\nResume commercial Mail. Apply the Gate to fresh Company work only after the current Mail path is moving again. Record what it blocks, what it lets through, and any useful discovery it would have incorrectly suppressed.\n\n## Truth boundary\nDo not claim the Gate is implemented, proven, or autonomous. The observed episode is the drift; the Gate is the proposed response.\n",
  "evidenceRefs": [
    "iris:v3:research-chronicle:did-mail-capability-compound-v0-v2:20260914",
    "nagi:v9:safe-mini-wave3-canonical-review-request:v0:20260914",
    "machine:v16:final-learning-objective-liveness-and-mail-critical-path:v0:20260909",
    "machine:v18:next-window-currentness-handoff:v0:20260915",
    "machine:v19:denshi-nagi050-semantic-clarification-request:v0:20260916",
    "repo:compare:892e8e3c05f8ab907b6616668718123fa6564699..1e2def2795250fb324f10c052fc198cc8a5494c7",
    "supabase:realpg_direct_sales_mail_events:latest-commercial-outbound:20260914T085202JST",
    "context:main:1e2def2795250fb324f10c052fc198cc8a5494c7:20260916T093117JST"
  ],
  "relatedEpisodes": [
    "canonical-objective-repair-replay-v0",
    "miyazaki-first-canonical-reality-v0",
    "did-mail-capability-compound-v0",
    "current-frontier-safe-change-and-public-learning-v0"
  ],
  "countermeasure": {
    "name": "Intent Gate v0.1",
    "state": "PROPOSED_NOT_YET_VERIFIED",
    "checks": [
      "Currentness",
      "Ancestry",
      "Sequence",
      "Execution-vs-Discovery",
      "Resume"
    ],
    "truthBoundary": "Do not claim the Gate is implemented, proven, or autonomous. The observed episode is the drift; the Gate is the proposed response."
  }
}
