{
  "schemaVersion": 1,
  "episodeId": "did-mail-capability-compound-v0",
  "canonicalRevision": 2,
  "status": "PARTIAL_COMPOUNDING",
  "publicationState": "ACTIVATED",
  "semanticOwner": "iris",
  "representationOwner": "mirage",
  "semanticSourceAdmissionId": "iris:v3:research-chronicle:did-mail-capability-compound-v0-v2:20260914",
  "semanticSourcePayloadHash": "9fa708e383031282e1d0ad45fa1770d6",
  "urls": {
    "human": "/development/notes/did-mail-capability-compound-v0/",
    "markdown": "/development/notes/did-mail-capability-compound-v0.md",
    "json": "/development/notes/did-mail-capability-compound-v0.json"
  },
  "title": { "ja": "一件目はCompany Learningだったのか？", "en": "Did the capability compound?" },
  "objective": { "ja": "Miyazakiのrepairが二社目のRealityをより低いclosure costで閉じる再利用可能な能力になったかを確かめる。", "en": "Determine whether the Miyazaki repairs became reusable capability that closes a second company's Reality at lower closure cost." },
  "prior_state": { "ja": "Miyazakiで一社目を閉じたが、再利用か一回限りのrepairかは未確定だった。", "en": "Miyazaki closed one company, but it was unresolved whether that was reuse or a one-off repair chain." },
  "failure_or_pressure": { "ja": "二社目が同じ経路で閉じても、packet固有のMachine変更が必要なら一般化とは言えない。", "en": "Even if a second company closes on the same path, packet-specific Machine change prevents a generalization claim." },
  "observations": [
    { "ja": "二社目のoutbound Realityは08:52 JSTに観測された。", "en": "Second-company outbound Reality was observed at 08:52 JST." },
    { "ja": "08:55のContextはHumanの決定、閲覧、手作業、Humanが運ぶcross-lane messageがゼロだと報告した。", "en": "The 08:55 Context reported zero Human decisions, looks, manual actions, and Human-carried cross-lane messages." },
    { "ja": "Direct Sales Productionは既存のrepair済みheadでCURRENTのままだった。", "en": "Direct Sales Production remained CURRENT on the existing repaired head." },
    { "ja": "CSD固有のMachine replay commitは依然必要だった。", "en": "A CSD-specific Machine replay commit was still required." }
  ],
  "hypotheses": [
    { "ja": "Miyazakiのrepairは、実質的に低いclosure costを持つ再利用可能な能力を作った。", "en": "Miyazaki repairs created reusable capability with materially lower closure cost." },
    { "ja": "Objective Runtimeの完全な一般化はまだ証明されていない。", "en": "Full Objective Runtime generalization is not yet proven." }
  ],
  "interventions": [
    { "ja": "P1のfrozen pathを二社目へ繰り返し、既存のrepair済みProduct headを維持した。", "en": "Repeated the P1 frozen path for a second company while keeping the existing repaired Product head." }
  ],
  "outcomes": [
    { "ja": "能力の再利用とclosure costの低下は根拠づけられたため、verdictはPARTIAL_COMPOUNDINGとなった。", "en": "Capability reuse and lower closure cost are grounded, so the verdict is PARTIAL_COMPOUNDING." }
  ],
  "unknowns": [
    { "ja": "packet固有のMachine source変更なしに三社目を閉じられるかは未確定である。", "en": "Whether a third company closes without packet-specific Machine source change remains unknown." },
    { "ja": "MiyazakiのHuman lane-hopとartifact-shuttleの正確な回数は不明である。", "en": "Exact Miyazaki Human lane-hop and artifact-shuttle counts remain unknown." }
  ],
  "next_verification": { "ja": "packet固有のMachine source変更なしに三社目を閉じられるかを観察する。", "en": "Observe whether a third company can close without packet-specific Machine source change." },
  "why_it_matters": { "ja": "一件の成功を一般化せず、再利用できた能力と残るpacket固有のcostを同時に公開できる。", "en": "It makes reusable capability and the remaining packet-specific cost public without turning one success into a generalization claim." },
  "observed": ["Second-company outbound Reality is observed at 08:52 JST.", "08:55 Context reports zero Human decisions, looks, manual actions, and Human-carried cross-lane messages.", "Direct Sales Production remained CURRENT on the existing repaired head.", "A CSD-specific Machine replay commit was still required."],
  "inferred": ["Miyazaki repairs created reusable capability with materially lower closure cost.", "Full Objective Runtime generalization is not yet proven."],
  "unknown": ["Whether a third company closes without packet-specific Machine source change remains unknown.", "Exact Miyazaki Human lane-hop and artifact-shuttle counts remain unknown."],
  "nextVerification": ["Observe whether a third company can close without packet-specific Machine source change."],
  "causalChain": [
    { "step": 1, "state": "FROZEN_PATH_REPEAT", "evidence": "machine:v18:p1-frozen-mail-second-cycle-request:v0:20260914" },
    { "step": 2, "state": "SECOND_COMPANY_REALITY", "evidence": "context:20260913-235545" },
    { "step": 3, "state": "PACKET_SPECIFIC_REPLAY", "evidence": "machine:v18:csd-canonical-review-result:9cb56aebde08f377a9b76013f77567c9a4f262670338c5b2" }
  ],
  "counterEvidence": ["A CSD-specific Machine replay commit was still required; arbitrary-packet Objective Runtime generalization remains unproven."],
  "canonicalText": "# Did the capability compound?\n\n## Observed\n- Second-company outbound Reality is observed at 08:52 JST.\n- 08:55 Context reports zero Human decisions, looks, manual actions, and Human-carried cross-lane messages.\n- Direct Sales Production remained CURRENT on the existing repaired head.\n- A CSD-specific Machine replay commit was still required.\n\n## Inferred\n- Miyazaki repairs created reusable capability with materially lower closure cost.\n- Full Objective Runtime generalization is not yet proven.\n\n## Unknown\n- Whether a third company closes without packet-specific Machine source change remains unknown.\n\n## Verdict\nPARTIAL_COMPOUNDING\n\n## Next verification\n- Observe whether a third company can close without packet-specific Machine source change.",
  "evidenceRefs": ["iris:v3:research-chronicle:did-mail-capability-compound-v0-v1:20260914", "machine:v18:p1-frozen-mail-second-cycle-request:v0:20260914", "machine:v18:csd-canonical-review-result:9cb56aebde08f377a9b76013f77567c9a4f262670338c5b2", "nagi:v9:csd-final-envelope-preparation-request:v0:20260914", "repo:main:892e8e3c05f8ab907b6616668718123fa6564699", "context:20260913-235545"]
}